Today / Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord / Neudrossenfeld vs J. Regensburg B

Neudrossenfeld vs J. Regensburg B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 31 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:00

Neudrossenfeld

PPG 1.64 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

J. Regensburg B

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.6%0-24.0%0-32.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-05.1%1-18.8%1-27.5%1-34.3%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.9%2-18.3%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-03.1%3-15.3%3-24.5%3-32.6%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.9%4+-23.3%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.8% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 35.4% — — —

Over 2.5 70.0% — — —

Over 3.5 48.8% — — —

BTTS 69.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob69.7%

H 43% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Neudrossenfeld1.9

J. Regensburg B1.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.0% · O3.5 PROB 48.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NEUDROSSENFELD · PPG 1.64

J. REGENSBURG B · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.64) vs P(Home)=42.8%

Win probability 1X2

Neudrossenfeld (H) 42.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

J. Regensburg B (A) 35.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Neudrossenfeld face J. Regensburg B in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Neudrossenfeld a 43% chance, the draw 22% and J. Regensburg B 35%, so Neudrossenfeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Neudrossenfeld and 1.7 for J. Regensburg B (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Neudrossenfeld are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.69 for J. Regensburg B. This match finished 3-4.

Neudrossenfeld vs J. Regensburg B Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord Predictions