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Grossschwarz. vs Wurzburger FV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 31 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:00

Grossschwarz.

PPG 0.71 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Wurzburger FV

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away POOR (0.93)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.6%0-25.1%0-33.1%0-4+2.1%1 1-05.1%1-19.3%1-28.4%1-35.1%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.2%2-17.7%2-27.0%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-02.4%3-14.3%3-23.9%3-32.4%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.6%4+-22.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 42.1% — — —

Over 2.5 67.7% — — —

Over 3.5 46.1% — — —

BTTS 68.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob68.0%

A 42% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 0–1✓ 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grossschwarz.1.7

Wurzburger FV1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.7% · O3.5 PROB 46.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GROSSSCHWARZ. · PPG 0.71

WURZBURGER FV · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Grossschwarz. (H) 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wurzburger FV (A) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grossschwarz. face Wurzburger FV in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grossschwarz. a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Wurzburger FV 42%, so Wurzburger FV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Grossschwarz. and 1.8 for Wurzburger FV (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grossschwarz. are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 0.93 for Wurzburger FV. This match finished 0-1.

Grossschwarz. vs Wurzburger FV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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