Today / Gutersloh vs Lotte

Gutersloh vs Lotte Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

Gutersloh

PPG 1.73 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Lotte

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-17.7%0-24.0%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.5%1-112.0%1-26.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.0%2-19.4%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.7%3-14.9%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.7%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 25.3% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 48.3% — — —

Over 3.5 26.6% — — —

BTTS 51.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.3%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 11.5%

#3 2–1 9.4%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 0–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gutersloh1.6

Lotte1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.3% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GUTERSLOH · PPG 1.73

LOTTE · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Gutersloh (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lotte (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gutersloh face Lotte on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gutersloh a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Lotte 26%, so Gutersloh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Gutersloh and 1.0 for Lotte (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gutersloh are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.33 for Lotte. This match finished 3-0.

Gutersloh vs Lotte Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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