Today / Ismaily vs Modern Sport

Ismaily vs Modern Sport Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

Ismaily

PPG 0.73 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Modern Sport

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.7%0-115.5%0-24.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.4%1-111.7%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.3%2-14.4%2-21.3%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.8%3-11.1%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 38.8% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 15.7% — — —

Over 3.5 4.9% — — —

BTTS 24.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob24.0%

D 39% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 16% / NoBTTS 24%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.7%

#2 1–0 19.4%

#3 0–1 15.5%

#4 1–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ismaily0.8

Modern Sport0.6

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 15.7% · O3.5 PROB 4.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ISMAILY · PPG 0.73

MODERN SPORT · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.73) vs Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Ismaily (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 38.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Modern Sport (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ismaily face Modern Sport on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ismaily a 35% chance, the draw 39% and Modern Sport 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for Ismaily and 0.6 for Modern Sport (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 16% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 24% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ismaily are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 1.08 for Modern Sport. This match finished 0-2.

Ismaily vs Modern Sport Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions