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Albert Quévy-Mons vs Meux Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division

ACFF · Matchday 1 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 18:00

Albert Quévy-Mons

PPG 1.90 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Meux

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

DW ···

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1% — a clear edge.

+10.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-15.7%0-23.0%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.2%1-110.7%1-25.6%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.9%3-16.1%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.3%4+-22.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 59.9% 1.67 -11.5%

Draw 23.3% 30.3% 3.30 -13.9%

Away win 23.6% 22.2% 4.50 +3.7%

Over 2.5 59.7% 54.1% 1.85 +10.4%

Over 3.5 36.7% 34.2% 2.92 +7.2%

BTTS 55.0% 57.1% 1.75 -3.8%

Home O1.5 56.3% 61.7% 1.62 -8.8%

Away O1.5 32.6% 22.2% 4.50 +46.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.0%

H 53% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 1–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Albert Quévy-Mons1.9

Meux1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ALBERT QUÉVY-MONS · PPG 1.90

MEUX · PPG 1.42

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Albert Quévy-Mons (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -11.5%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -13.9%

Meux (A) 23.6%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Albert Quévy-Mons face Meux in Belgium - First Amateur Division on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Albert Quévy-Mons a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Meux 24%, so Albert Quévy-Mons are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Albert Quévy-Mons and 1.0 for Meux (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Albert Quévy-Mons are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.42 for Meux. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +46.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Albert Quévy-Mons vs Meux Prediction— Belgium - First Amateur Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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