Today / Marchfeld vs Favoritner AC

Marchfeld vs Favoritner AC Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

Marchfeld
PPG 1.83 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Favoritner AC
PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.83), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-12.9%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.5%1-17.2%1-22.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.0%2-19.1%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-17.6%3-22.9%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.5%4+-18.7%4+-23.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 75.6%
Draw 15.3%
Away win 9.1%
Over 2.5 63.5%
Over 3.5 41.4%
BTTS 48.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 58%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.9%

H 76% / xG 2.5-0.8 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.0%
#2 3–0 10.0%
#3 1–0 9.5%
#4 2–1 9.1%
#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marchfeld2.5
Favoritner AC0.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 41.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MARCHFELD · PPG 1.83

FAVORITNER AC · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.83), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Marchfeld (H) 75.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 15.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Favoritner AC (A) 9.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marchfeld face Favoritner AC on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marchfeld a 76% chance, the draw 15% and Favoritner AC 9%, so Marchfeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Marchfeld and 0.8 for Favoritner AC (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marchfeld are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 0.67 for Favoritner AC. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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