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Germany - 2. Bundesliga Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:30 
Karlsruher SC PPG 1.88 
Bochum PPG 0.75
Germany - 2. Bundesliga Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:30 Karlsruher SC PPG 1.881-2 HIT CS3
Bochum PPG 0.75Home· +13.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.36 -16.5%
Over 3.5 42.0% Odds: 1.91 -19.8%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.30 -22.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✔
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlsruher SC 1.78
Bochum 1.52
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -16.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 46 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 48%
ROI -47.1%
Bet Hit 33% (12 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=44.3%