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Germany - 2. Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 34 Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer· Fürth Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:30
Greuther Furth logo Greuther Furth PPG 1.25
3-0 MISS
Dusseldorf logo Dusseldorf PPG 0.81
Home· +15.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +15.8%
Draw 26.7%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -0.7%
Away 27.0%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -18.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.6% Odds: 1.55 -13.8%
Over 3.5 32.1% Odds: 2.35 -24.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.45 -13.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Greuther Furth
1.57
Dusseldorf
1.29

Model Suggestion

BTTS -13.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-13.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.81)

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