Darmstadt vs Paderborn Prediction & Tips

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Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 34 Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor· Darmstadt Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:30

Darmstadt PPG 2.19

0-2 MISS

Paderborn PPG 1.63

Home· +64.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: +64.6%

Draw 25.7%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +3.2%

Away 25.9%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -30.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.36 -19.6%

Over 3.5 35.6% Odds: 1.90 -32.4%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.33 -20.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Darmstadt

1.71

Paderborn

1.31

Model SuggestionBTTS -20.6% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-20.6%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -47.1%

Bet Hit 33% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.19) > Away GOOD (1.63)