Today / Germany - 2. Bundesliga / Hannover 96 vs FC Nurnberg

Hannover 96 vs FC Nurnberg Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Regular Season - 34 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 13:30

Hannover 96

PPG 1.63 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FC Nurnberg

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-17.0%0-23.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.6%1-111.6%1-26.3%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.8%2-19.6%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.9%3-15.3%3-22.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.2%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.8% 69.0% 1.45 -26.3%

Draw 25.2% 21.1% 4.75 +11.8%

Away win 24.0% 17.2% 5.80 +23.5%

Over 2.5 52.6% 70.4% 1.42 -25.3%

Over 3.5 29.6% 47.6% 2.10 -22.7%

BTTS 53.5% 65.4% 1.53 -18.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -12.4%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.5%

H 51% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hannover 961.7

FC Nurnberg1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HANNOVER 96 · PPG 1.63

FC NURNBERG · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Hannover 96 (H) 50.8%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -26.3%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +11.8%

FC Nurnberg (A) 24.0%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV +23.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hannover 96 face FC Nurnberg in Germany - 2. Bundesliga on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hannover 96 a 51% chance, the draw 25% and FC Nurnberg 24%, so Hannover 96 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Hannover 96 and 1.1 for FC Nurnberg (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hannover 96 are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.88 for FC Nurnberg. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.5%. This match finished 3-3.

Hannover 96 vs FC Nurnberg Prediction— Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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