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Germany - 2. Bundesliga Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:30 
Elversberg PPG 2.13 
Preuss. Munster PPG 0.81
Germany - 2. Bundesliga Sunday, May 17, 2026 13:30 Elversberg PPG 2.133-0 HIT CS4
Preuss. Munster PPG 0.81Away· +100.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.38 -15.3%
Over 3.5 40.7% Odds: 1.93 -21.4%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 3-0 ✔
5th 1-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Elversberg 2.34
Preuss. Munster 0.90
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -15.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+100.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+100.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 46 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 48%
ROI -47.1%
Bet Hit 33% (12 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=60.4%