Today / LASK Amateure vs Lafnitz

LASK Amateure vs Lafnitz Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

LASK Amateure

PPG 2.25 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lafnitz

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.1%0-20.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.2%1 1-02.6%1-13.7%1-22.7%1-31.3%1-4+0.6%2 2-04.5%2-16.5%2-24.6%2-32.2%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.2%3-17.4%3-25.3%3-32.5%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-010.9%4+-115.5%4+-211.1%4+-35.3%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.6% — — —

Draw 12.6% — — —

Away win 11.8% — — —

Over 2.5 86.5% — — —

Over 3.5 71.8% — — —

BTTS 73.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 85%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)3.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob73.6%

H 76% / xG 3.5-1.4 / O2.5 86% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.4%

#2 2–1 6.5%

#3 4–1 6.4%

#4 3–2 5.3%

#5 3–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LASK Amateure3.5

Lafnitz1.4

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 86.5% · O3.5 PROB 71.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LASK AMATEURE · PPG 2.25

LAFNITZ · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away AVERAGE (1.45)

Win probability 1X2

LASK Amateure (H) 75.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 12.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lafnitz (A) 11.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

LASK Amateure face Lafnitz on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LASK Amateure a 76% chance, the draw 13% and Lafnitz 12%, so LASK Amateure are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for LASK Amateure and 1.4 for Lafnitz (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 87% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LASK Amateure are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.45 for Lafnitz. This match finished 0-3.

LASK Amateure vs Lafnitz Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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