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IFK Skövde vs Motala Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Norra Götaland · Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

IFK Skövde

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDWW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Motala

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-16.9%0-23.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.4%1-111.5%1-26.4%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.6%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.8%3-15.3%3-23.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-13.2%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% 57.8% 1.73 -16.3%

Draw 24.5% 26.7% 3.75 -4.9%

Away win 27.1% 25.3% 3.95 +4.2%

Over 2.5 53.5% 63.7% 1.57 -16.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 42.0% 2.38 -25.0%

BTTS 54.3% 66.7% 1.50 -18.6%

Home O1.5 48.9% 62.5% 1.60 -21.8%

Away O1.5 33.0% 38.5% 2.60 -14.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -5.6%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.3%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 2–0 8.6%

#5 1–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IFK Skövde1.7

Motala1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

IFK SKÖVDE · PPG 1.56

MOTALA · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

IFK Skövde (H) 48.4%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -16.3%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -4.9%

Motala (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +4.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

IFK Skövde face Motala in Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IFK Skövde a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Motala 27%, so IFK Skövde are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for IFK Skövde and 1.1 for Motala (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IFK Skövde are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.00 for Motala. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +15.3%. This match finished 3-2.

IFK Skövde vs Motala Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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