Al Nasr vs Al Jazira Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 23 Al Maktoum Stadium· Dubai Friday, April 24, 2026 16:45

Al Nasr PPG 1.09

3-2 MISS

Al Jazira PPG 1.64

Draw· -5.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Nasr face Al Jazira in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Nasr a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Al Jazira 45%, so Al Jazira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Nasr and 1.4 for Al Jazira (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Nasr are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 1.64 for Al Jazira. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.9%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -6.5%

Draw 26.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -5.9%

Away 45.2%

Odds: 1.97 EV: -11.0%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.9% Odds: 1.80 -21.0%

Over 3.5 22.8% Odds: 3.00 -31.6%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.65 -19.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Nasr

1.04

Al Jazira

1.40

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 52%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.64) vs Home AVERAGE (1.09)