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SC Wanderers vs Ipswich Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:30

SC Wanderers
PPG 1.55 · HOME
LAST 5
DDWWW
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Ipswich
PPG 1.45 · AWAY
LAST 5
WDWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.4%0-22.6%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.8%1-19.3%1-25.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.8%3-16.9%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-15.9%4+-23.5%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.4%
Draw 22.8%
Away win 23.8%
Over 2.5 61.0%
Over 3.5 38.8%
BTTS 59.9%
Home O1.5 59.6%
Away O1.5 33.3%

League track record

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 65%
BTTS 54%
Score Hit 42%
ROI 22.3%
Bet Hit 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%
#2 2–1 9.8%
#3 2–0 8.3%
#4 1–2 5.5%
#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SC Wanderers2.1
Ipswich1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.0% · O3.5 PROB 38.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SC WANDERERS · PPG 1.55

IPSWICH · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SC Wanderers (H) 53.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ipswich (A) 23.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

SC Wanderers face Ipswich in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SC Wanderers a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Ipswich 24%, so SC Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for SC Wanderers and 1.2 for Ipswich (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SC Wanderers are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.45 for Ipswich. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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