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F. Regensburg vs Coburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Bayern Nord - 31 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 16:30

F. Regensburg

PPG 1.92 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Coburg

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-10.9%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.6%1-13.2%1-22.0%1-30.8%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.9%2-16.0%2-23.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.1%3-17.5%3-24.6%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-015.2%4+-118.5%4+-211.3%4+-34.6%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.2% — — —

Draw 10.1% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 87.2% — — —

Over 3.5 72.9% — — —

BTTS 68.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 26%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 89%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)3.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob68.8%

H 82% / xG 3.7-1.2 / O2.5 87% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.5%

#2 4–1 7.0%

#3 3–0 6.1%

#4 2–1 6.0%

#5 4–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

F. Regensburg3.7

Coburg1.2

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 87.2% · O3.5 PROB 72.9%

Form & verdict PPG

F. REGENSBURG · PPG 1.92

COBURG · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.92), Away POOR (0.77) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

F. Regensburg (H) 82.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 10.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Coburg (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

F. Regensburg face Coburg in Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives F. Regensburg a 82% chance, the draw 10% and Coburg 8%, so F. Regensburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for F. Regensburg and 1.2 for Coburg (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 87% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, F. Regensburg are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 0.77 for Coburg. This match finished 4-2.

F. Regensburg vs Coburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Bayern Nord

Match Preview & Prediction

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