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Gori vs Shturmi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

Gori

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Shturmi

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.9%0-116.5%0-26.8%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.7%1-113.0%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-06.2%2-15.1%2-22.1%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.6%3-11.3%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% — — —

Draw 32.0% — — —

Away win 33.4% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 18.0% — — —

BTTS 43.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.9% — — —

Away O1.5 23.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 30.0%

Bet Hit 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.9%

#2 1–0 15.7%

#3 0–1 16.5%

#4 1–1 13.0%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gori0.8

Shturmi0.8

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GORI · PPG 1.20

SHTURMI · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.04, combined xG 1.61 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gori (H) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shturmi (A) 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gori face Shturmi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gori a 35% chance, the draw 32% and Shturmi 33%, so Gori are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Gori and 0.8 for Shturmi (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gori are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.27 for Shturmi. This match finished 3-1.

Gori vs Shturmi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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