Today / Zaglebie Lubin vs Termalica

Zaglebie Lubin vs Termalica Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

Zaglebie Lubin

PPG 1.86 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Termalica

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.86), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.2%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.7%1-16.2%1-22.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.7%2-18.6%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.9%3-18.0%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-013.5%4+-110.9%4+-24.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 78.4% — — —

Draw 13.5% — — —

Away win 8.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.4% — — —

Over 3.5 48.0% — — —

BTTS 51.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.8%

H 78% / xG 2.8-0.8 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%

#2 3–0 9.9%

#3 2–1 8.6%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zaglebie Lubin2.8

Termalica0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.4% · O3.5 PROB 48.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAGLEBIE LUBIN · PPG 1.86

TERMALICA · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.86), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Zaglebie Lubin (H) 78.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 13.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Termalica (A) 8.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zaglebie Lubin face Termalica on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zaglebie Lubin a 78% chance, the draw 14% and Termalica 8%, so Zaglebie Lubin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Zaglebie Lubin and 0.8 for Termalica (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zaglebie Lubin are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 0.86 for Termalica. This match finished 1-2.

Zaglebie Lubin vs Termalica Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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