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Westchester SC vs Spokane Velocity Prediction— USA - USL League One

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 23:00

Westchester SC

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Spokane Velocity

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 60% chance

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-14.5%0-22.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.6%1-19.4%1-24.2%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.1%2-19.9%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.8%3-16.9%3-23.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-15.9%4+-22.6%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.1% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.8% — — —

Over 3.5 37.4% — — —

BTTS 55.0% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -4.5%

Bet Hit 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–0 11.1%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 1–2 4.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Westchester SC2.1

Spokane Velocity0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WESTCHESTER SC · PPG 2.00

SPOKANE VELOCITY · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

60%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.21 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Westchester SC (H) 55.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spokane Velocity (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Westchester SC face Spokane Velocity in USA - USL League One on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Westchester SC a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Spokane Velocity 23%, so Westchester SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Westchester SC and 0.9 for Spokane Velocity (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Westchester SC are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.71 for Spokane Velocity. This match finished 1-3.

Westchester SC vs Spokane Velocity Prediction— USA - USL League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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