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Platense vs FAS Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Apertura · Matchday 5 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 00:00

Platense

PPG 1.48 · HOME

UPCOMING

FAS

PPG 1.61 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-113.7%0-210.0%0-34.8%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.6%1-112.4%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.9%2-15.6%2-24.1%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.2%3-11.7%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.0% 26.3% 3.80 -3.0%

Draw 28.1% 32.3% 3.10 -7.7%

Away win 46.8% 52.4% 1.91 -10.6%

Over 2.5 49.9% 45.5% 2.20 +9.8%

Over 3.5 28.7% 25.3% 3.95 +8.0%

BTTS 49.4% 52.6% 1.90 -6.1%

Home O1.5 30.2% 28.6% 3.50 +5.7%

Away O1.5 42.6% 47.6% 2.10 -10.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 18%

O2.5 36%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob49.4%

A 47% / xG 0.9-1.5 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 13.7%

#3 0–0 9.4%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Platense0.9

FAS1.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PLATENSE · PPG 1.48

FAS · PPG 1.61

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.55 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Platense (H) 25.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -3.0%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -7.7%

FAS (A) 46.8%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -10.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Platense face FAS in El-Salvador - Primera Division on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Platense a 25% chance, the draw 28% and FAS 47%, so FAS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Platense and 1.5 for FAS (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Platense are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.61 for FAS. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +9.8%.

Platense vs FAS Prediction— El-Salvador - Primera Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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