Today / Colombia - Primera B / Internacional Palmira vs Barranquilla

Internacional Palmira vs Barranquilla Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 00:45

Internacional Palmira

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDWL

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Barranquilla

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDDLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-16.0%0-22.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.9%1-110.8%1-24.9%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.8%2-19.8%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.5%3-15.9%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-14.1%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.6% 71.4% 1.40 -26.4%

Draw 23.9% 23.1% 4.33 +2.1%

Away win 23.5% 14.7% 6.80 +35.9%

Over 2.5 53.5% 63.7% 1.57 -16.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 41.7% 2.40 -24.4%

BTTS 52.7% 58.8% 1.70 -10.4%

Home O1.5 49.9% 70.4% 1.42 -29.1%

Away O1.5 25.7% 26.7% 3.75 -2.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 52%

ROI -32.5%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.7%

H 53% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–0 10.8%

#3 1–0✓ 11.9%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Internacional Palmira1.8

Barranquilla0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

INTERNACIONAL PALMIRA · PPG 2.00

BARRANQUILLA · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.90 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Internacional Palmira (H) 52.6%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -26.4%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +2.1%

Barranquilla (A) 23.5%

ODDS 6.80 · IMPLIED 14.7% EV +35.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Internacional Palmira face Barranquilla in Colombia - Primera B on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Internacional Palmira a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Barranquilla 24%, so Internacional Palmira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Internacional Palmira and 0.9 for Barranquilla (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Internacional Palmira are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Barranquilla. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +19.8%. This match finished 1-0.

Internacional Palmira vs Barranquilla Prediction— Colombia - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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