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2 de Mayo vs Club Guarani Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura

Clausura · Matchday 6 ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 21:30

2 de Mayo

PPG 2.12 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Club Guarani

PPG 1.79 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-111.5%0-25.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.3%1-113.3%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.3%2-17.8%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-13.0%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% 36.0% 2.78 +20.6%

Draw 27.3% 33.3% 3.00 -10.9%

Away win 29.3% 39.7% 2.52 -15.7%

Over 2.5 44.6% 42.0% 2.38 +6.2%

Over 3.5 24.6% 22.2% 4.50 +6.4%

BTTS 49.2% 51.3% 1.95 -4.1%

Home O1.5 31.4% 33.3% 3.00 -5.8%

Away O1.5 25.7% 35.7% 2.80 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 75%

ROI 44.4%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 43% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0✓ 12.3%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

2 de Mayo1.2

Club Guarani0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.6%

Form & verdict PPG

2 DE MAYO · PPG 2.12

CLUB GUARANI · PPG 1.79

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.23, combined xG 2.10 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

2 de Mayo (H) 43.4%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV +20.6%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.9%

Club Guarani (A) 29.3%

ODDS 2.52 · IMPLIED 39.7% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

2 de Mayo face Club Guarani in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 2 de Mayo a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Club Guarani 29%, so 2 de Mayo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for 2 de Mayo and 0.9 for Club Guarani (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 2 de Mayo are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.79 for Club Guarani. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +16.2%. This match finished 0-0.

2 de Mayo vs Club Guarani Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Clausura

Match Preview & Prediction

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