Today / Rangers W vs Hearts W

Rangers W vs Hearts W Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

Rangers W

PPG 2.55 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hearts W

PPG 2.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.2%0-23.2%0-32.2%0-4+1.7%1 1-03.4%1-16.9%1-26.9%1-34.6%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.6%2-17.3%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+3.9%3 3-02.6%3-15.1%3-25.2%3-33.5%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-14.5%4+-24.5%4+-33.0%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.0% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 37.7% — — —

Over 2.5 78.0% — — —

Over 3.5 59.1% — — —

BTTS 76.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob76.2%

H 42% / xG 2.1-2.0 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2✓ 7.3%

#2 2–1 7.3%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 1–1 6.9%

#5 3–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rangers W2.1

Hearts W2.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.0% · O3.5 PROB 59.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RANGERS W · PPG 2.55

HEARTS W · PPG 2.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.55), Away EXCELLENT (2.27)

Win probability 1X2

Rangers W (H) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hearts W (A) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rangers W face Hearts W on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rangers W a 42% chance, the draw 20% and Hearts W 38%, so Rangers W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Rangers W and 2.0 for Hearts W (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rangers W are averaging 2.55 points per game versus 2.27 for Hearts W. This match finished 2-2.

Rangers W vs Hearts W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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