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Patro Eisden vs Club Brugge II Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 18:00

Patro Eisden

PPG 1.89 · HOME

LAST 5

WLL ··

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Club Brugge II

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-17.3%0-24.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.1%1-111.6%1-27.3%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.3%2-19.2%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.8%3-14.9%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.8%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 52.6% 1.90 -14.5%

Draw 25.4% 29.9% 3.35 -8.9%

Away win 29.6% 26.0% 3.85 +8.4%

Over 2.5 53.5% 54.6% 1.83 -2.1%

Over 3.5 31.5% 32.3% 3.10 -2.4%

BTTS 54.8% 59.9% 1.67 -8.5%

Home O1.5 47.7% 52.4% 1.91 -8.9%

Away O1.5 36.6% 33.3% 3.00 +9.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.8%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 9.1%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 1–2✓ 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Patro Eisden1.6

Club Brugge II1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PATRO EISDEN · PPG 1.89

CLUB BRUGGE II · PPG 0.89

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Patro Eisden (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -14.5%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -8.9%

Club Brugge II (A) 29.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Patro Eisden face Club Brugge II in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Patro Eisden a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Club Brugge II 30%, so Patro Eisden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Patro Eisden and 1.3 for Club Brugge II (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Patro Eisden are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.89 for Club Brugge II. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +13.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Patro Eisden vs Club Brugge II Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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