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RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

RSC Anderlecht II

PPG 0.98 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Beerschot VA

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-19.5%0-26.9%0-33.4%0-4+1.7%1 1-08.3%1-112.1%1-28.8%1-34.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.3%2-17.7%2-25.6%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.2%3-13.3%3-22.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.1% 19.0% 5.25 +63.3%

Draw 26.6% 23.8% 4.20 +7.0%

Away win 42.2% 66.7% 1.50 -36.7%

Over 2.5 51.2% 66.7% 1.50 -23.2%

Over 3.5 31.1% 44.4% 2.25 -30.0%

BTTS 54.1% 64.5% 1.55 -16.1%

Home O1.5 37.2% 33.3% 3.00 +11.6%

Away O1.5 40.9% 69.0% 1.45 -40.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.1%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 0–1✓ 9.5%

#4 2–1 7.7%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RSC Anderlecht II1.3

Beerschot VA1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.2% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RSC ANDERLECHT II · PPG 0.98

BEERSCHOT VA · PPG 1.55

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

RSC Anderlecht II (H) 31.1%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +63.3%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +7.0%

Beerschot VA (A) 42.2%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -36.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

RSC Anderlecht II face Beerschot VA in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RSC Anderlecht II a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Beerschot VA 42%, so Beerschot VA are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for RSC Anderlecht II and 1.5 for Beerschot VA (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RSC Anderlecht II are averaging 0.98 points per game versus 1.55 for Beerschot VA. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +41.6%. This match finished 0-1.

RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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