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Club Brugge II vs Seraing United Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Club Brugge II

PPG 1.01 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

3 – 2

FULL TIME

Seraing United

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLD ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-110.0%0-25.9%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.8%1-112.9%1-27.6%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.0%2-18.3%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.0%3-13.6%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.8% 43.5% 2.30 -1.6%

Draw 28.0% 29.9% 3.35 -3.7%

Away win 29.1% 35.1% 2.85 -10.2%

Over 2.5 44.8% 55.6% 1.80 -19.4%

Over 3.5 28.1% 33.3% 3.00 -9.4%

BTTS 49.1% 61.7% 1.62 -20.5%

Home O1.5 37.8% 46.5% 2.15 -18.7%

Away O1.5 36.0% 40.8% 2.45 -11.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 18%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.1%

H 43% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 10.8%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–0 8.4%

#5 2–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Club Brugge II1.3

Seraing United1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CLUB BRUGGE II · PPG 1.01

SERAING UNITED · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.10, combined xG 2.47 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Club Brugge II (H) 42.8%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -1.6%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -3.7%

Seraing United (A) 29.1%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -10.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Club Brugge II face Seraing United in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Club Brugge II a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Seraing United 29%, so Club Brugge II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Club Brugge II and 1.2 for Seraing United (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Club Brugge II are averaging 1.01 points per game versus 1.17 for Seraing United. This match finished 3-2.

Club Brugge II vs Seraing United Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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