Beerschot vs Lommel SK Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Belgium - Challenger Pro League Regular Season - 34 Olympisch Stadion· Antwerp Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

Beerschot PPG 1.87

2-1 HIT CS2

Lommel SK PPG 1.73

Away· -3.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Beerschot face Lommel SK in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beerschot a 48% chance, the draw 24% and Lommel SK 28%, so Beerschot are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Beerschot and 1.3 for Lommel SK (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beerschot are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.73 for Lommel SK. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.6%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -7.2%

Draw 23.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -16.4%

Away 28.5%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -3.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.4% Odds: 1.70 -4.1%

Over 3.5 34.0% Odds: 2.70 -8.2%

BTTS 58.3% Odds: 1.55 -9.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Beerschot

1.69

Lommel SK

1.25

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 67%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.87), Away GOOD (1.73)