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Lokeren-Temse vs AS Eupen Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Matchday 2 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:00

Lokeren-Temse

PPG 1.34 · HOME

LAST 5

WWL ··

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

AS Eupen

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.4%0-25.4%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.7%1-111.3%1-28.3%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.8%2-18.5%2-26.3%2-33.1%2-4+1.6%3 3-02.9%3-14.3%3-23.2%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.3%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% 44.4% 2.25 -13.2%

Draw 26.6% 29.4% 3.40 -5.7%

Away win 34.8% 35.7% 2.80 -2.6%

Over 2.5 53.9% 56.5% 1.77 -4.6%

Over 3.5 31.6% 33.9% 2.95 -6.8%

BTTS 54.7% 62.5% 1.60 -12.5%

Home O1.5 40.0% 47.6% 2.10 -16.0%

Away O1.5 41.2% 41.7% 2.40 -1.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob54.7%

H 39% / xG 1.5-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–1✓ 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 0–0 5.1%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lokeren-Temse1.5

AS Eupen1.5

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LOKEREN-TEMSE · PPG 1.34

AS EUPEN · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lokeren-Temse (H) 38.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -13.2%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.7%

AS Eupen (A) 34.8%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lokeren-Temse face AS Eupen in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lokeren-Temse a 39% chance, the draw 27% and AS Eupen 35%, so Lokeren-Temse are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Lokeren-Temse and 1.5 for AS Eupen (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lokeren-Temse are averaging 1.34 points per game versus 1.42 for AS Eupen. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +5.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Lokeren-Temse vs AS Eupen Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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