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Anderlecht B vs OC Charleroi Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Belgium - Challenger Pro League logo Belgium flag Belgium - Challenger Pro League Regular Season - 34 Lotto Park· Anderlecht Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00
Anderlecht B logo Anderlecht B PPG 0.87
5-0 MISS
OC Charleroi logo OC Charleroi PPG 0.93
Home· +7.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Anderlecht B face OC Charleroi in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anderlecht B a 55% chance, the draw 23% and OC Charleroi 23%, so Anderlecht B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Anderlecht B and 1.1 for OC Charleroi (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anderlecht B are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 0.93 for OC Charleroi. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 5-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.9%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +7.1%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -17.5%
Away 22.5%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -25.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.3% Odds: 1.50 -14.1%
Over 3.5 34.9% Odds: 2.30 -19.7%
BTTS 56.8% Odds: 1.44 -18.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Anderlecht B
1.87
OC Charleroi
1.12

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away POOR (0.93)

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