Kortrijk vs RWDM Prediction— Belgium - Challenger Pro League

Belgium - Challenger Pro League Regular Season - 34 Guldensporen Stadion· Kortrijk Friday, April 17, 2026 18:00

Kortrijk PPG 2.67

3-1 HIT CS5

RWDM PPG 1.27

Over3.5· +7.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kortrijk face RWDM in Belgium - Challenger Pro League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kortrijk a 63% chance, the draw 19% and RWDM 18%, so Kortrijk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Kortrijk and 1.1 for RWDM (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kortrijk are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.27 for RWDM. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.2%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 63.0%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -3.6%

Draw 19.4%

Odds: 3.95 EV: -23.4%

Away 17.6%

Odds: 5.25 EV: -7.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.9% Odds: 1.62 +5.1%

Over 3.5 42.9% Odds: 2.50 +7.2%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.62 -3.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Kortrijk

2.24

RWDM

1.10

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +5.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+7.2%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 78%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 67%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs P(Home)=63.0%