Today / Szekszardi W vs Honved W

Szekszardi W vs Honved W Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

Szekszardi W

PPG 0.88 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Honved W

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.88), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-16.7%0-210.9%0-311.7%0-4+21.5%1 1-01.3%1-14.3%1-26.9%1-37.5%1-4+13.7%2 2-00.4%2-11.4%2-22.2%2-32.4%2-4+4.4%3 3-00.1%3-10.3%3-20.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 4.2% — — —

Draw 9.1% — — —

Away win 86.7% — — —

Over 2.5 74.3% — — —

Over 3.5 54.2% — — —

BTTS 45.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob45.3%

A 87% / xG 0.6-3.2 / O2.5 74% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 11.7%

#2 0–2 10.9%

#3 0–4 9.5%

#4 1–3 7.5%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szekszardi W0.6

Honved W3.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.3% · O3.5 PROB 54.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SZEKSZARDI W · PPG 0.88

HONVED W · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.88), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Win probability 1X2

Szekszardi W (H) 4.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 9.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Honved W (A) 86.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Szekszardi W face Honved W on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szekszardi W a 4% chance, the draw 9% and Honved W 87%, so Honved W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Szekszardi W and 3.2 for Honved W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szekszardi W are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.11 for Honved W. This match finished 2-0.

Szekszardi W vs Honved W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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