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United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League logo United-Arab-Emirates flag United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 23 Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium· Madinat Zayed Friday, April 24, 2026 14:00
Al Dhafra logo Al Dhafra PPG 1.09
0-1 HIT CS3
Ajman logo Ajman PPG 1.18
Home· +12.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.3%
Odds: 2.94 EV: +12.6%
Draw 26.8%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -4.9%
Away 34.9%
Odds: 2.14 EV: -25.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.4% Odds: 1.80 -16.5%
Over 3.5 24.9% Odds: 3.00 -25.3%
BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.65 -15.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Dhafra
1.30
Ajman
1.23

Model Suggestion

BTTS -15.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+12.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 52%
Score Hit 52%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.09), Away AVERAGE (1.18)

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