Today / National Bank vs ZED FC

National Bank vs ZED FC Prediction

Friday, April 24, 2026

National Bank

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

ZED FC

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.9%0-110.9%0-23.2%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-111.9%1-23.4%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.2%2-16.5%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.0%3-12.3%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.7% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 19.5% — — —

Over 2.5 23.4% — — —

Over 3.5 8.8% — — —

BTTS 29.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob29.1%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.5%

#2 0–0 18.9%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 0–1 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

National Bank1.1

ZED FC0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.4% · O3.5 PROB 8.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NATIONAL BANK · PPG 1.25

ZED FC · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

National Bank (H) 47.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

ZED FC (A) 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

National Bank face ZED FC on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives National Bank a 48% chance, the draw 33% and ZED FC 20%, so National Bank are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for National Bank and 0.6 for ZED FC (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, National Bank are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.31 for ZED FC.

National Bank vs ZED FC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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