Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Dalvík / Reynir vs KFG

Dalvík / Reynir vs KFG Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

Dalvík / Reynir

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDLW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

KFG

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.2% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.9%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.4%1-17.4%1-24.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.0%2-19.3%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.8%3-17.8%3-24.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-07.8%4+-19.0%4+-25.2%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.3% 59.9% 1.67 -9.3%

Draw 18.6% 25.6% 3.90 -16.5%

Away win 27.1% 27.0% 3.70 +0.2%

Over 2.5 68.2% 75.2% 1.33 -9.3%

Over 3.5 46.2% 57.1% 1.75 -19.1%

BTTS 61.4% 75.2% 1.33 -18.3%

Home O1.5 65.8% 73.0% 1.37 -9.8%

Away O1.5 33.0% 47.6% 2.10 -30.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 5.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.4%

H 54% / xG 2.5-1.2 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.4%

#2 1–2 4.3%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 2–0✓ 8.0%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalvík / Reynir2.5

KFG1.2

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 46.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DALVÍK / REYNIR · PPG 1.67

KFG · PPG 0.78

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dalvík / Reynir (H) 54.3%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -9.3%

Draw 18.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -16.5%

KFG (A) 27.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +0.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalvík / Reynir face KFG in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalvík / Reynir a 54% chance, the draw 19% and KFG 27%, so Dalvík / Reynir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Dalvík / Reynir and 1.2 for KFG (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalvík / Reynir are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.78 for KFG. This match finished 2-0.

Dalvík / Reynir vs KFG Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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