Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Vikingur Olafsiik vs Haukar

Vikingur Olafsiik vs Haukar Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 20 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Vikingur Olafsiik

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWLL

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Haukar

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-16.8%0-25.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.5%1-110.6%1-28.6%1-34.6%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.1%2-26.6%2-33.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.6%3-14.2%3-23.4%3-31.8%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.3%4+-21.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 34.5% 2.90 +0.6%

Draw 22.3% 28.6% 3.50 -13.2%

Away win 43.0% 50.0% 2.00 -14.0%

Over 2.5 63.1% 69.4% 1.44 -9.1%

Over 3.5 39.3% 53.8% 1.86 -26.9%

BTTS 62.6% 75.2% 1.33 -16.7%

Home O1.5 43.4% 54.1% 1.85 -19.7%

Away O1.5 47.9% 63.7% 1.57 -24.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 5.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob62.6%

A 43% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.1%

#4 0–2 5.6%

#5 0–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur Olafsiik1.5

Haukar1.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR OLAFSIIK · PPG 2.00

HAUKAR · PPG 1.78

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur Olafsiik (H) 34.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +0.6%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -13.2%

Haukar (A) 43.0%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -14.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur Olafsiik face Haukar in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur Olafsiik a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Haukar 43%, so Haukar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Vikingur Olafsiik and 1.6 for Haukar (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur Olafsiik are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.78 for Haukar. This match finished 1-4.

Vikingur Olafsiik vs Haukar Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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