Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Kormákur / Hvöt vs Haukar

Kormákur / Hvöt vs Haukar Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 18 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 18:00

Kormákur / Hvöt

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Haukar

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.5% vs bookmaker-implied 77.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-14.4%0-23.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-06.4%1-19.1%1-26.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.6%2-19.3%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.5%3-16.4%3-24.5%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-15.3%4+-23.7%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 30.3% 3.30 +57.7%

Draw 22.7% 26.0% 3.85 -7.6%

Away win 29.6% 55.9% 1.79 -28.2%

Over 2.5 63.5% 77.5% 1.29 -18.1%

Over 3.5 41.3% 57.1% 1.75 -27.7%

BTTS 61.9% — — —

Home O1.5 59.2% 52.6% 1.90 +12.5%

Away O1.5 41.2% 70.4% 1.42 -41.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 5.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.9%

H 48% / xG 2.1-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2✓ 6.4%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kormákur / Hvöt2.1

Haukar1.4

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.5% · O3.5 PROB 41.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KORMÁKUR / HVÖT · PPG 2.00

HAUKAR · PPG 1.62

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kormákur / Hvöt (H) 47.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +57.7%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -7.6%

Haukar (A) 29.6%

ODDS 1.79 · IMPLIED 55.9% EV -28.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kormákur / Hvöt face Haukar in Iceland - 2. Deild on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kormákur / Hvöt a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Haukar 30%, so Kormákur / Hvöt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Kormákur / Hvöt and 1.4 for Haukar (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kormákur / Hvöt are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.62 for Haukar. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +12.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Kormákur / Hvöt vs Haukar Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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