Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Dalvík / Reynir vs Magni

Dalvík / Reynir vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 18 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 18:00

Dalvík / Reynir

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDLW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Magni

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDWL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.48 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-13.1%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.6%1-17.6%1-23.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.4%2-19.5%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.8%3-17.8%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-08.7%4+-18.8%4+-24.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.0% 64.1% 1.56 -12.6%

Draw 20.1% 24.4% 4.10 -10.5%

Away win 23.9% 23.8% 4.20 +0.2%

Over 2.5 63.1% 75.2% 1.33 -16.1%

Over 3.5 39.4% 54.3% 1.84 -27.5%

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 31.3% 43.9% 2.28 -28.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 5.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.7%

H 56% / xG 2.5-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 7.6%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–2 3.8%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalvík / Reynir2.5

Magni1.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DALVÍK / REYNIR · PPG 1.75

MAGNI · PPG 0.50

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.48 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dalvík / Reynir (H) 56.0%

ODDS 1.56 · IMPLIED 64.1% EV -12.6%

Draw 20.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -10.5%

Magni (A) 23.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +0.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalvík / Reynir face Magni in Iceland - 2. Deild on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalvík / Reynir a 56% chance, the draw 20% and Magni 24%, so Dalvík / Reynir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Dalvík / Reynir and 1.0 for Magni (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalvík / Reynir are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.50 for Magni. This match finished 1-1.

Dalvík / Reynir vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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