Sukhothai vs Ratchaburi Prediction— Thailand - Thai League 1

Thailand - Thai League 1 Regular Season - 28 Thalay Luang Stadium· Sukhothai Friday, April 24, 2026 12:00

Sukhothai PPG 1.62

1-2 HIT CS5

Ratchaburi PPG 2.08

Away· -0.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sukhothai face Ratchaburi in Thailand - Thai League 1 on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sukhothai a 21% chance, the draw 26% and Ratchaburi 54%, so Ratchaburi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sukhothai and 1.5 for Ratchaburi (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sukhothai are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 2.08 for Ratchaburi. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.6%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -24.8%

Draw 25.8%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -11.0%

Away 53.7%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -0.7%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.4% Odds: 1.70 -27.9%

Over 3.5 21.6% Odds: 2.75 -40.6%

BTTS 44.6% Odds: 1.60 -28.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Sukhothai

0.84

Ratchaburi

1.54

Model SuggestionAway -0.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -0.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -38.1%

Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.62) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.08)