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Kecskeméti TE vs Kozarmisleny FC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:30

Kecskeméti TE

PPG 2.00 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Kozarmisleny FC

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 61.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-14.2%0-21.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.5%1-19.1%1-24.0%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-19.8%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.1%3-17.0%3-23.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-07.2%4+-16.2%4+-22.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.0% 75.2% 1.33 -14.9%

Draw 20.8% 23.8% 4.20 -7.6%

Away win 15.2% 13.3% 7.50 +8.4%

Over 2.5 59.7% 57.8% 1.73 +3.3%

Over 3.5 36.7% 40.2% 2.49 -8.6%

BTTS 52.7% 57.1% 1.75 -7.8%

Home O1.5 61.6% 69.9% 1.43 -11.9%

Away O1.5 24.7% 20.8% 4.80 +11.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 32.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.7%

H 64% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.3%

#2 1–1 9.1%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 3–0✓ 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kecskeméti TE2.1

Kozarmisleny FC0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KECSKEMÉTI TE · PPG 2.00

KOZARMISLENY FC · PPG 0.82

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.28 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kecskeméti TE (H) 64.0%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -14.9%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -7.6%

Kozarmisleny FC (A) 15.2%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kecskeméti TE face Kozarmisleny FC in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kecskeméti TE a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Kozarmisleny FC 15%, so Kecskeméti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Kecskeméti TE and 0.9 for Kozarmisleny FC (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kecskeméti TE are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.82 for Kozarmisleny FC. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +31.8%. This match finished 3-0.

Kecskeméti TE vs Kozarmisleny FC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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