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Kozarmisleny FC vs Szeged 2011 Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:30

Kozarmisleny FC

PPG 1.65 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Szeged 2011

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 49.1% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-111.7%0-26.2%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.6%1-113.4%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.2%2-17.6%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.7%3-12.9%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% 33.3% 3.00 +7.7%

Draw 28.6% 34.5% 2.90 -10.2%

Away win 35.5% 46.5% 2.15 -23.7%

Over 2.5 44.8% 43.5% 2.30 +3.0%

Over 3.5 25.6% 25.9% 3.86 -0.7%

BTTS 49.1% 54.1% 1.85 -9.2%

Home O1.5 30.6% 31.4% 3.18 -2.7%

Away O1.5 34.2% 43.1% 2.32 -20.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 32.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob49.1%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.0%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–0 12.6%

#5 1–2✓ 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kozarmisleny FC1.1

Szeged 20111.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KOZARMISLENY FC · PPG 1.65

SZEGED 2011 · PPG 1.04

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 2.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kozarmisleny FC (H) 35.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +7.7%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.2%

Szeged 2011 (A) 35.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -23.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kozarmisleny FC face Szeged 2011 in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kozarmisleny FC a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Szeged 2011 36%, so Kozarmisleny FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kozarmisleny FC and 1.1 for Szeged 2011 (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kozarmisleny FC are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.04 for Szeged 2011. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +22.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Kozarmisleny FC vs Szeged 2011 Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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