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Szentlőrinc SE vs Csakvar Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:30

Szentlőrinc SE

PPG 1.54 · HOME

UPCOMING

Csakvar

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-19.1%0-24.6%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.8%1-112.7%1-26.3%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-18.9%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.1%3-14.1%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% 50.0% 2.00 -8.2%

Draw 28.6% 30.3% 3.30 -3.4%

Away win 25.5% 31.3% 3.20 -11.0%

Over 2.5 45.9% 51.3% 1.95 -10.5%

Over 3.5 27.8% 31.3% 3.20 -6.6%

BTTS 49.2% 58.5% 1.71 -15.9%

Home O1.5 41.7% 47.6% 2.10 -12.4%

Away O1.5 28.7% 35.2% 2.84 -11.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 58%

ROI -18.2%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.2%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 1–0 12.8%

#4 2–0 8.9%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szentlőrinc SE1.4

Csakvar1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SZENTLŐRINC SE · PPG 1.54

CSAKVAR · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.39, combined xG 2.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Szentlőrinc SE (H) 45.9%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -8.2%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -3.4%

Csakvar (A) 25.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Szentlőrinc SE face Csakvar in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szentlőrinc SE a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Csakvar 26%, so Szentlőrinc SE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Szentlőrinc SE and 1.0 for Csakvar (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szentlőrinc SE are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.20 for Csakvar.

Szentlőrinc SE vs Csakvar Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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