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Tiszafuredi VSE vs Cigand SE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 5 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 15:30

Tiszafuredi VSE

PPG 1.21 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLW

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Cigand SE

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.5 puts the goal expectation near the line. Model probability 50.5% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-112.2%0-28.9%0-34.3%0-4+2.2%1 1-08.5%1-112.5%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.4%2-16.4%2-24.7%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.5%3-12.2%3-21.6%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.1% 23.8% 4.20 +3.3%

Draw 25.4% 25.6% 3.90 -0.6%

Away win 49.5% 62.5% 1.60 -20.8%

Over 2.5 50.5% 59.9% 1.67 -15.7%

Over 3.5 28.7% 38.6% 2.59 -15.4%

BTTS 49.2% 60.6% 1.65 -18.8%

Home O1.5 30.9% 31.1% 3.22 -0.5%

Away O1.5 40.9% 61.7% 1.62 -33.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob49.2%

A 50% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1 12.2%

#3 1–2 9.1%

#4 0–2✓ 8.9%

#5 0–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tiszafuredi VSE1.0

Cigand SE1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TISZAFUREDI VSE · PPG 1.21

CIGAND SE · PPG 1.80

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.43, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tiszafuredi VSE (H) 25.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +3.3%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -0.6%

Cigand SE (A) 49.5%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tiszafuredi VSE face Cigand SE in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tiszafuredi VSE a 25% chance, the draw 25% and Cigand SE 50%, so Cigand SE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Tiszafuredi VSE and 1.5 for Cigand SE (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tiszafuredi VSE are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.80 for Cigand SE. This match finished 0-2.

Tiszafuredi VSE vs Cigand SE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Match Preview & Prediction

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