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B. Strikers vs St George W. Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 10:30

B. Strikers

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

St George W.

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 82.7% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4% — a clear edge.

+19.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-12.3%0-20.4%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-016.9%1-15.3%1-20.8%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-019.4%2-16.0%2-20.9%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-014.9%3-14.6%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-014.7%4+-14.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 82.7% 69.4% 1.44 +19.1%

Draw 13.6% 21.7% 4.60 -37.4%

Away win 3.7% 19.2% 5.20 -80.8%

Over 2.5 48.4% 71.4% 1.40 -32.2%

Over 3.5 26.6% 48.8% 2.05 -45.5%

BTTS 24.1% 65.4% 1.53 -63.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob24.1%

H 83% / xG 2.3-0.3 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 24%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 19.4%

#2 1–0 16.9%

#3 3–0 14.9%

#4 4–0 8.6%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B. Strikers2.3

St George W.0.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.4% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

B. STRIKERS · PPG 2.00

ST GEORGE W. · PPG 0.80

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

B. Strikers (H) 82.7%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV +19.1%

Draw 13.6%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -37.4%

St George W. (A) 3.7%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV -80.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

B. Strikers face St George W. in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B. Strikers a 83% chance, the draw 14% and St George W. 4%, so B. Strikers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for B. Strikers and 0.3 for St George W. (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 24% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B. Strikers are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.80 for St George W.. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +19.1%. This match finished 2-0.

B. Strikers vs St George W. Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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