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Stratford Town vs Needham Market Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Stratford Town

PPG 1.29 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLD

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Needham Market

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-18.2%0-25.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.6%1-111.8%1-28.1%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.3%2-18.6%2-25.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.0%3-14.1%3-22.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 37.9% — — —

Over 2.5 54.2% — — —

Over 3.5 34.7% — — —

BTTS 57.1% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2✓ 8.1%

#3 2–1 8.6%

#4 0–1 8.2%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stratford Town1.4

Needham Market1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.2% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

STRATFORD TOWN · PPG 1.29

NEEDHAM MARKET · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.08 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Stratford Town (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Needham Market (A) 37.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stratford Town face Needham Market in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stratford Town a 37% chance, the draw 25% and Needham Market 38%, so Needham Market are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Stratford Town and 1.4 for Needham Market (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stratford Town are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.40 for Needham Market. This match finished 1-2.

Stratford Town vs Needham Market Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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