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Halesowen Town vs Real Bedford Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Halesowen Town

PPG 2.02 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Real Bedford

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-17.7%0-26.3%0-33.4%0-4+2.0%1 1-06.8%1-111.0%1-28.9%1-34.8%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.8%2-17.8%2-26.3%2-33.4%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.3%3-13.7%3-23.0%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.5% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 44.6% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 59.9% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 0–2✓ 6.3%

#5 0–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Halesowen Town1.4

Real Bedford1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HALESOWEN TOWN · PPG 2.02

REAL BEDFORD · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.20 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Halesowen Town (H) 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Real Bedford (A) 44.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Halesowen Town face Real Bedford in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Halesowen Town a 32% chance, the draw 24% and Real Bedford 45%, so Real Bedford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Halesowen Town and 1.6 for Real Bedford (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Halesowen Town are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 2.08 for Real Bedford. This match finished 0-2.

Halesowen Town vs Real Bedford Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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