Today / BSC Y. Boys B vs Biel-Bienne

BSC Y. Boys B vs Biel-Bienne Prediction

Wednesday, April 15, 2026

BSC Y. Boys B
PPG 1.92 · HOME
0 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Biel-Bienne
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-18.1%0-25.2%0-32.3%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.2%1-111.9%1-27.7%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-18.8%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.4%3-14.4%3-22.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.2%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 41.6%
Draw 25.3%
Away win 33.1%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Over 3.5 30.3%
BTTS 56.1%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-2
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob56.1%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%
#2 1–0 9.2%
#3 2–1 8.8%
#4 0–1 8.1%
#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BSC Y. Boys B1.5
Biel-Bienne1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BSC Y. BOYS B · PPG 1.92

BIEL-BIENNE · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

BSC Y. Boys B (H) 41.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Biel-Bienne (A) 33.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

BSC Y. Boys B face Biel-Bienne on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BSC Y. Boys B a 42% chance, the draw 25% and Biel-Bienne 33%, so BSC Y. Boys B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for BSC Y. Boys B and 1.3 for Biel-Bienne (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BSC Y. Boys B are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.50 for Biel-Bienne. This match finished 0-2.

PredictVantage

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