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Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bishop's Stortford Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Bromsgrove Sporting

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Bishop's Stortford

PPG 0.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-16.0%0-23.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.4%1-110.9%1-25.7%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.7%3-16.0%3-23.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-14.1%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 56.0% — — —

Over 3.5 35.4% — — —

BTTS 54.4% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 1–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bromsgrove Sporting1.8

Bishop's Stortford1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.0% · O3.5 PROB 35.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BROMSGROVE SPORTING · PPG 1.31

BISHOP'S STORTFORD · PPG 0.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Bromsgrove Sporting (H) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bishop's Stortford (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bromsgrove Sporting face Bishop's Stortford in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bromsgrove Sporting a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Bishop's Stortford 24%, so Bromsgrove Sporting are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bromsgrove Sporting and 1.0 for Bishop's Stortford (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bromsgrove Sporting are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.82 for Bishop's Stortford. This match finished 3-0.

Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bishop's Stortford Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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