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Banbury United vs Stourbridge Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Saturday, August 29, 2026, 14:00

Banbury United

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDL

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Stourbridge

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-17.7%0-25.4%0-32.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.2%1-111.5%1-28.1%1-33.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.1%2-18.6%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.1%3-14.3%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 36.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.7% — — —

BTTS 60.4% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.5%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 1–0 8.2%

#5 0–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banbury United1.5

Stourbridge1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BANBURY UNITED · PPG 1.67

STOURBRIDGE · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Banbury United (H) 38.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stourbridge (A) 36.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Banbury United face Stourbridge in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banbury United a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Stourbridge 37%, so Banbury United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Banbury United and 1.4 for Stourbridge (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banbury United are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.56 for Stourbridge. This match finished 1-1.

Banbury United vs Stourbridge Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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