Today / Ukraine - Premier League / Kolos U19 vs SK Poltava U19

Kolos U19 vs SK Poltava U19 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Regular Season - 25 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 12:30

Kolos U19

PPG 1.50 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

SK Poltava U19

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 90.1% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-11.1%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.4%1-13.4%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.9%2-15.2%2-20.9%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-016.1%3-15.3%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-026.1%4+-18.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 90.1% 83.3% 1.20 +8.1%

Draw 7.8% 20.0% 5.00 -61.0%

Away win 2.1% 6.7% 15.00 -68.5%

Over 2.5 65.6% 57.1% 1.75 +14.8%

Over 3.5 43.7% 35.1% 2.85 +24.5%

BTTS 26.7% 40.8% 2.45 -34.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 11.4%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob26.7%

H 90% / xG 3.0-0.3 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 16.1%

#2 2–0✓ 15.9%

#3 4–0 12.3%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 5–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolos U193.0

SK Poltava U190.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLOS U19 · PPG 1.50

SK POLTAVA U19 · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Kolos U19 (H) 90.1%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV +8.1%

Draw 7.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -61.0%

SK Poltava U19 (A) 2.1%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV -68.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolos U19 face SK Poltava U19 in Ukraine - Premier League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolos U19 a 90% chance, the draw 8% and SK Poltava U19 2%, so Kolos U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Kolos U19 and 0.3 for SK Poltava U19 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolos U19 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.00 for SK Poltava U19. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +24.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Kolos U19 vs SK Poltava U19 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Premier League Predictions