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Kolos U19 vs SK Poltava U19 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 25 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 12:30

Kolos U19

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLW

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

SK Poltava U19

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLD

// Model verdict

Home 85% chance

Model probability 90.1% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-11.1%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.4%1-13.4%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.9%2-15.2%2-20.9%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-016.1%3-15.3%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-026.1%4+-18.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 90.1% 83.3% 1.20 +8.1%

Draw 7.8% 20.0% 5.00 -61.0%

Away win 2.1% 6.7% 15.00 -68.5%

Over 2.5 65.6% 57.1% 1.75 +14.8%

Over 3.5 43.7% 35.1% 2.85 +24.5%

BTTS 26.7% 40.8% 2.45 -34.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob26.7%

H 90% / xG 3.0-0.3 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 16.1%

#2 2–0✓ 15.9%

#3 4–0 12.3%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 5–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolos U193.0

SK Poltava U190.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLOS U19 · PPG 1.50

SK POLTAVA U19 · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

85%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Kolos U19 (H) 90.1%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV +8.1%

Draw 7.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -61.0%

SK Poltava U19 (A) 2.1%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV -68.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolos U19 face SK Poltava U19 in Ukraine - Premier League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolos U19 a 90% chance, the draw 8% and SK Poltava U19 2%, so Kolos U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Kolos U19 and 0.3 for SK Poltava U19 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolos U19 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.00 for SK Poltava U19. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +24.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Kolos U19 vs SK Poltava U19 Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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