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Kreuzlingen vs Cham Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 17:30

Kreuzlingen

PPG 1.61 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Cham

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.6%0-23.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.4%1-110.2%1-27.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-19.3%2-26.4%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.1%3-15.7%3-23.9%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.0%4+-22.7%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% 33.9% 2.95 +38.1%

Draw 24.3% 27.0% 3.70 -6.0%

Away win 28.9% 48.8% 2.05 -24.4%

Over 2.5 59.7% 65.4% 1.53 -8.7%

Over 3.5 36.6% 42.6% 2.35 -14.0%

BTTS 61.3% 69.0% 1.45 -11.1%

Home O1.5 52.9% 46.5% 2.15 +13.7%

Away O1.5 41.2% 57.8% 1.73 -28.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 99 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob61.3%

H 47% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2✓ 7.0%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kreuzlingen1.8

Cham1.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KREUZLINGEN · PPG 1.61

CHAM · PPG 1.33

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kreuzlingen (H) 46.8%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +38.1%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.0%

Cham (A) 28.9%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -24.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kreuzlingen face Cham in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kreuzlingen a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Cham 29%, so Kreuzlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kreuzlingen and 1.4 for Cham (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kreuzlingen are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.33 for Cham. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +30.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Kreuzlingen vs Cham Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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